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SUMMARY

by xfabre last modified 17-06-2008 16:15

maibandeau

The AgFoodTRAde consortium gathers eleven research institutions for a coordinated program of work for three years, starting May 1 2008. The work intends to help answering questions such as: what are major trends and driving forces affecting world trade? What is their impact and how should trade policies deal with these processes in the future?

The project builds on past research in international trade analysis and modelling to assess the consequences of trade negotiations and public policies on agricultural production, markets and trade. The program of work emphasizes issues that are often overlooked such as:

• the impact of demand from energy markets which affect agriculture;
• the demographic changes, which in some developing and transition countries modify the demand for food;
• the concentration of firms in many global markets, which could modify the expected size and distribution of gains from trade liberalization among stakeholders;
• the impact of trade liberalization on price volatility, and potential remedies;
• the growing importance of sanitary and technical measures and their potential impact on food security, health issues, and trade.

The program of work includes the development of indicators an methodologies; the development of three large scale models (a general equilibrium model of the world economy, a model of EU agriculture and a spatial model of agricultural trade); the development of databases on trade and tariffs; the evaluation of trade agreements and policy reforms using welfare analysis, with a particular emphasis on case studies in Europe as well as in developing countries. The project intends to provide information, expertise, and operational instruments to policymakers involved in trade negotiations, and agricultural policy design.

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